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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 12 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3945 US elections 2836 Foreign politics 451 Political Leader Tenure 362 Future US Presidents 232 US Political Timelines 204 Leader Tenure Predictions 118 US Political Future 108 Presidential Candidacy 77 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

4,970 markets · page 12 of 208

Kalshi

Open

Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?

Megan Degenfelder65¢

5 outcomes

$55.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

TN-06 Republican Primary Winner

‹ Prev1…1011121314…208Next ›

Johnny Garrett73¢

8 outcomes

$4.6K Vol▼ 1pts11d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)?

Completes full term77¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ28.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

Marsha Blackburn95¢

3 outcomes

$141K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

UBJP71¢

51 outcomes

$34.1K Vol▼ 1pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Democrats Outperform their 2018 Midterm Results? [Win more than 235 seats in 2026]

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Francesca Hong receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary? — At least 50%

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$2.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

William Azaroff27¢

39 outcomes

$145K Vol▼ 3pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Labour get <50% of the 1st preference vote in the 2026 Manchester mayoral by-election in any borough?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ21 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Darline Graham Nordone receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? — At least 30%

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

$4.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

GA-05 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95¢

8 outcomes

$40.2K Vol▼ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

The field is highly concentrated in two scenarios—Republican President/Republican Senate/Democratic House (43%) and Republican President/Democratic Senate/Democratic House (42%)—with a combined 85% probability, leaving only a 14% chance of a Republican trifecta and negligible odds for any Democratic presidency outcome, reflecting a polarized electorate where the presidency and Senate lean Republican but the House is a toss-up.

R President, R Senate, D House43¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ490K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Greater Manchester mayoral election winner?

Labour97¢

6 outcomes

$59.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

WY-AL Republican Primary Winner

Chuck Gray53¢

17 outcomes

$3.9K Vol▲ 0pts23d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election?

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

Ɱ4.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

MI-11 Democratic nominee?

Jeremy Moss92¢

5 outcomes

$46.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER)97¢

34 outcomes

$2.8M Vol▼ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ14.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

Michele Tafoya95¢

9 outcomes

$93.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova55¢

40 outcomes

$215K Vol▲ 1pts4mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Israel holds free and fair election in 2026?

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ5.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

267¢

3 outcomes

$359K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

TX-04 House Election Winner

Republican Party93¢

8 outcomes

$22.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will any federal or state court rule finds that fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states? — Before 2027

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$45.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo