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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 13 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3881 US elections 2765 Foreign politics 427 Political Leader Tenure 354 Future US Presidents 225 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 75 Person of the Year Awards 13 Sports & Political Leadership 10

422 markets · page 13 of 18

Manifold· Play

Open

Constitutional Amendment initiated during Prabowo's First Term as President of Indonesia

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

Ɱ130 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…1112131415…18Next ›

Open

Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ36.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be an Asian-American President of the United States before 2060?

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ64 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Who will be the first woman president of the United States?

Other/none of the above59¢

17 outcomes

Ɱ13.4K Vol▲ 0pts15y

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Open

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop being president of Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine war ends.

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ5K Vol▲ 0pts14y

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Open

Will Claudia Sheinbaum publicly advocate for Solar Geoengineering during her term as president of Mexico?

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ134 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Open

🥇 2028 Olympics: Will the President of the United States attend the Opening Ceremony?

Yes86¢

No14¢

Yes ≈ 86% chance

Ɱ306 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will Blake Masters ever be elected President?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2028?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Will the final president of the United States be inaugurated on January 20th, 2025?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ899 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Will the first woman president of the United States be a Republican?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ559 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Open

Will Donald Trump be impeached at least once during his second term?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Will I ever be president of the USA

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Will Matthew McConaughey ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts6y

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Open

Before 2029, if Kalshi odds are ever >90% that Trump will be impeached, will he resign within a month?

This market is a compound conditional bet: it requires both a 90% impeachment probability on Kalshi and a resignation within 30 days, making the 35% Yes price reflect the low historical likelihood of a president resigning under such pressure, not just the chance of impeachment proceedings.

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ65 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Will Infantino win the election for President of FIFA?

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts7mo

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Who will be elected president in the 2028 US election?

Other29¢

19 outcomes

Ɱ32.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will Ivanka Trump be the first female elected President?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ2K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Michelle Obama ever be elected President?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ20K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Gloria Álvarez ever be president of Guatemala?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ815 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will the president during the 2024-2028 term be impeached by at least one body of congress during their term?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will the next president be impeached?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ4.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y