Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 4196US elections 3089Foreign politics 544Political Leader Tenure 396Future US Presidents 256US Political Timelines 212Leader Tenure Predictions 133US Political Future 117Presidential Candidacy 80US Political Milestones ✨ 35Person of the Year Awards 18Sports & Political Leadership 9
6,501 markets · page 136 of 271
Manifold· Play
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Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term
Yes60¢
No40¢
Yes ≈ 60% chance
Ɱ237 Vol 0pts2y
Polymarket
Open