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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 139 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4157 US elections 3047 Foreign politics 529 Political Leader Tenure 389 Future US Presidents 254 US Political Timelines 212 Leader Tenure Predictions 129 US Political Future 116 Presidential Candidacy 80 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 17 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,452 markets · page 139 of 269

Kalshi

Open

TX-24 House winner?

Beth Van Duyne90¢

2 outcomes

$9.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.

‹ Prev1…137138139140141…269Next ›

Yes83¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 83% chance

Ɱ7.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

TX-25 House winner?

Roger Williams92¢

2 outcomes

$421 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Did Donald Trump have gay sex?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ21.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

TX-27 House winner?

Michael Cloud92¢

2 outcomes

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 2025 by the end of 2027?

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

Ɱ410 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

TX-29 House winner?

Sylvia Garcia96¢

2 outcomes

$862 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Donald Trump is impeached again in his second term, will it stick?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ611 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$33.2K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

TX-30 House winner?

Frederick Haynes III97¢

2 outcomes

$3.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ12.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

TX-31 House winner?

John Carter90¢

2 outcomes

$3.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the 2026 NC Senate race be the most expensive Senate race of 2026?

Yes24¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ304 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

TX-33 House winner?

Colin Allred99¢

2 outcomes

$506 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Khamenei or Epstein faked their deaths, will Trump do a backflip, XOR will Putin not release a sex tape, by 2100?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Ɱ254 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

TX-36 House winner?

Brian Babin92¢

2 outcomes

$3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will at least 33% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ2.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

TX-37 House winner?

Greg Casar97¢

2 outcomes

$1.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will they announce a presidential library at Trump's Mar-A-Lago by the end of 2028?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ82 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

TX-38 House winner?

Jon Bonck88¢

2 outcomes

$3.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump arrest anyone for something that was pardoned (either after the charge, or a per-emptive pardon) under Biden?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Nicolás Maduro

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$12.1K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

UT-04 House winner?

Mike Kennedy96¢

2 outcomes

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$2.7K Vol▲ 2pts5mo