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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 16 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3857 US elections 2735 Foreign politics 418 Political Leader Tenure 347 Future US Presidents 223 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 74 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

415 markets · page 16 of 18

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a person who is not Joe Biden or Donald Trump become the de facto president of the United States before 2028?

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…1415161718Next ›

Open

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ17.9K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be elected President in 2028?

Yes3¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ14.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Yoweri Museveni's son succeed him as President of Uganda?

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ55 Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Open

Will a black woman become president of the United States before the end of 2081?

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

Ɱ135 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?

The market reflects not Zelenskyy's popularity but the legal ban on elections during martial law, with external US pressure and internal war fatigue as key wildcards.

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ15.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Will Mike Pompeo ever be elected President?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ703 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

If the Dems win enough seats in the midterms, will Trump be impeached?

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a member of Generation X become president of the United States?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Ɱ340 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Ivanka Trump be elected President in 2032?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a US president be impeached in the next 40 years?

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts6y

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Open

Will the next elected President of the USA serve the full term?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Will Tucker Carlson ever be elected President?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Trump gets impeached by January 20, 2029

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ361 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2030?

The market sees Putin retaining power through constitutional control and repression, but growing war fatigue and diplomatic openings introduce a risk of destabilization that the odds only partially discount.

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ715 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Open

Trump impeached before Iran war's end?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ7.5K Vol▲ 0pts8mo

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Open

Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

Ɱ11.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will the next President of the United States die in office?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ33.7K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Open

Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the ECB the 1st November of 2027?

The market strongly expects Lagarde to leave office exactly when her term ends in October 2027, with no indication of a second term or extension, making the 14% Yes price consistent with historical precedent.

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ202 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ19.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will Destiny ever run for president of the United States?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ876 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Will Barron Trump ever be elected President?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ940 Vol▲ 0pts—