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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 161 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3862 US elections 2723 Foreign politics 410 Political Leader Tenure 342 Future US Presidents 217 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 73 US Political Milestones ✨ 30 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,093 markets · page 161 of 254

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 29+ pts

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$283 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

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Will Elon Musk get fired from the Trump administration?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ724 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

NJ-09 House Election Winner

Democratic Party89¢

8 outcomes

$20.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 9+ pts

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

$90 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Congress pass a law banning the sale of non-hybrid Gas Powered cars to average consumers by the end of 2030?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ341 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

NM-02 House Election Winner

Democratic Party87¢

8 outcomes

$31.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 11+ pts

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

$128 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Empire of Mexico restored to the House of Iturbide (pretender Maximilian von Götzen-Iturbide) before 3rd March 2034.

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ493 Vol▲ 0pts7y

Polymarket

Open

NY-03 House Election Winner

Democratic Party86¢

8 outcomes

$11.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 13+ pts

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

$56 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas94¢

29 outcomes

$97.1K Vol▼ 0pts28d

Manifold· Play

Open

Does Biden have a neurological disorder in the years 2020-2024?

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 15+ pts

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$15 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

NY-04 House Election Winner

Democratic Party80¢

8 outcomes

$509 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be the Republican party nominee in the 2028 US presidential election?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ14.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 17+ pts

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

$348 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

NY-18 House Election Winner

Democratic Party90¢

8 outcomes

$34.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 19+ pts

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$315 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

NY-19 House Election Winner

Democratic Party89¢

8 outcomes

$3.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will more than 10,000 people die as a result of Trump's mass deportations?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 21+ pts

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$15 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

NY-22 House Election Winner

Democratic Party91¢

8 outcomes

$11.7K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Before 2030, will we have AI that can play Minecraft, understand movies, etc. and not resist shutdown?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ7.8K Vol▲ 0pts3y