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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 162 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3849 US elections 2714 Foreign politics 410 Political Leader Tenure 341 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 73 US Political Milestones ✨ 30 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,093 markets · page 162 of 254

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 23+ pts

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$15 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…160161162163164…254Next ›

NC-01 House Election Winner

Democratic Party54¢

8 outcomes

$823 Vol▼ 1pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump be impeached a 3rd time while in his second term in office?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ715 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 25+ pts

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$15 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

OH-01 House Election Winner

Democratic Party83¢

8 outcomes

$3.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

The race is a binary contest with Democrats at 85% odds, but the lack of recent polling movement indicates stability; the most notable recent structural shift is the Republican redistricting edge (BBC, Jun 10), which could narrow the gap over time.

Democrats85¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ293K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 27+ pts

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$6 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

OH-09 House Election Winner

Democratic Party70¢

8 outcomes

$23.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump get a third term in office?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ26.9K Vol▲ 0pts13y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 29+ pts

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$7 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

OH-13 House Election Winner

Democratic Party92¢

8 outcomes

$15.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Republican leaders say Trump lacks authority in 2026?

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Ɱ163 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 9+ pts

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

$255 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

OR-05 House Election Winner

Democratic Party92¢

8 outcomes

$4.8K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the trump administration do large-scale enforcement against grey/black-market feminizing HRT?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ513 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 10+ pts

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$3.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

PA-01 House Election Winner

Republican Party53¢

8 outcomes

$3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump significantly cut taxes for people making under 150k a year?

Yes14¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ265 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

PA-07 House Election Winner

Democratic Party74¢

8 outcomes

$5.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 4+ pts

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$3.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ271 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

PA-08 House Election Winner

Democratic Party57¢

8 outcomes

$1.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 8+ pts

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$4.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

PA-17 House Election Winner

Democratic Party88¢

8 outcomes

$4.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo