Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 3827US elections 2688Foreign politics 402Political Leader Tenure 339Future US Presidents 215US Political Timelines 202Leader Tenure Predictions 115US Political Future 105Presidential Candidacy 71US Political Milestones ✨ 30Person of the Year Awards 12Sports & Political Leadership 9
6,059 markets · page 163 of 253
Manifold· Play
Open
Will every non-Trump US president have studied at law school or served in the military until 2040?
Yes32¢
No68¢
Yes ≈ 32% chance
Ɱ490 Vol 0pts13y
Polymarket
Open