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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 17 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3809 US elections 2676 Foreign politics 402 Political Leader Tenure 338 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

406 markets · page 17 of 17

Manifold· Play

Open

Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2028?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ5.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…151617

Open

Will the next president (of the USA) last the full term?

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Volodymyr Zelensky be killed or captured while being the president of Ukraine?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ593 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald J. Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ169 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Will Barron Trump be elected President in 2040?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ711 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will MrBeast be elected President or Vice President of the United States before 2100?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Will SBF ever be elected President?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ689 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?

Yes35¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ163 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

Who will be the next president of France?

Marine Le Pen26¢

36 outcomes

Ɱ41.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will Kamala Harris ever be elected President?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ6.3K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Will the next president of USA revert to Gulf of Mexico

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Ɱ157 Vol▲ 0pts6y

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Open

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?

The market heavily favors Trump remaining president through 2026, but the real story is the tension between his aggressive foreign policy and domestic legal setbacks, with his own declaration of a fourth-term run signaling a potential constitutional crisis rather than a smooth continuation.

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will RSA-2048 encryption be broken before the first female president of the USA?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ109 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

will erdogan still be the president of turkey in 2028?

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ90 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Yulia Navalnaya run for President of Russia before 2030?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ105 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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President of Venezuela at the end of 2026

The field is heavily concentrated on Delcy Rodríguez at 83%, but this reflects a post-Maduro caretaker narrative rather than a stable political consolidation; the real contest is whether she can hold power through the end of 2026 or if institutional or opposition challenges break the ruling coalition.

Delcy Rodríguez83¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ121K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will Donald Trump serve full term as the President of the USA?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ3.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Open

Will Taylor Swift be elected President of the United States by 2050

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

Will JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033?

Despite being Vice President and the early 2028 GOP frontrunner, JD Vance faces mounting internal party opposition and a security scandal that have eroded his once-dominant position, making his path to the presidency before 2033 highly uncertain.

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ679 Vol▲ 0pts7y