Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
6,229 markets · page 17 of 260
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Yes ≈ 57% chance
21 outcomes
The Alaska Senate race has narrowed to a two-party contest where the Democratic nominee leads the Republican incumbent, a notable shift from the state's recent red lean, driven by a July 24 NYT poll showing Democratic gains.
2 outcomes
Yes ≈ 66% chance
Yes ≈ 65% chance
Yes ≈ 28% chance
The field is heavily concentrated on exactly two losses, with the 68% probability for 2 incumbents losing reflecting a wave that has already claimed several House members but has yet to fully materialize in Senate primaries, making the 31% for 3 losses the key battleground between a contained anti-incumbent mood and a broader rout.
3 outcomes
Yes ≈ 41% chance
Yes ≈ 87% chance
Yes ≈ 25% chance
Yes ≈ 30% chance
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 48% chance
2 outcomes
Yes ≈ 98% chance
2 outcomes