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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 173 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4254 US elections 3154 Foreign politics 583 Political Leader Tenure 398 Future US Presidents 258 US Political Timelines 212 Leader Tenure Predictions 136 US Political Future 118 Presidential Candidacy 81 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

5,294 markets · page 173 of 221

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 29 House General Election be above 131000? — Above 131K

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

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Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ5.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 29 House General Election be above 137000? — Above 137K

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled?

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

Ɱ4.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 29 House General Election be above 143000? — Above 143K

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 140000? — Above 140K

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will I consider the next UK General Election "a First Past the Post shitshow"?

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 147000? — Above 147K

Yes86¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 86% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Labour loses >1000 council seats & Starmer leaves as PM in 2026, will PM after next election be Labour?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ49 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 154000? — Above 154K

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tucker Carlson and Graham Platner meet before election day?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ315 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 161000? — Above 161K

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Brazil's 2026 election be free and fair?

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

Ɱ4.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 168000? — Above 168K

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Labour get more than 200 seats in the next UK House of Commons election?

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ75 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 175000? — Above 175K

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Donald Trump serves his full presidential term until January 20, 2029

Yes84¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 182000? — Above 182K

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026?

Brad Finstad56¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 31 House General Election be above 189000? — Above 189K

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.

Democrat83¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 35 House General Election be above 134000? — Above 134K

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Yes61¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Ɱ5.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 35 House General Election be above 141000? — Above 141K

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y