Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
6,500 markets · page 173 of 271
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
6,500 markets · page 173 of 271
The field is extremely fragmented with 'Other' leading at 25% and the top three summing only 57%, reflecting a wide-open race with over two dozen potential candidates (Washington Examiner, Jul 24). The biggest recent shift is not explicit in headlines, but Nevada's change to its Democratic primary calendar (Nevada Independent, Jul 24) could alter candidate momentum.
30 outcomes
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Yes ≈ 45% chance
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Yes ≈ 3% chance