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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 18 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3978 US elections 2874 Foreign politics 460 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 235 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 111 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

745 markets · page 18 of 32

Manifold· Play

Open

Will India officially become a One party country/nation before the end of 2030? (Similar to China's political system)

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ338 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

‹ Prev1…1617181920…32Next ›

Open

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$7.7K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 01 House General Election be above 300000? — Above 300K

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$8 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Zack Polanski is not leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Yes20¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$2.1K Vol▼ 6pts9mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 195000? — Above 195K

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$0 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Brazil 2026 Election: Will Lula get more votes than in 2022 (59,563,912) in any round?

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ393 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Candidate E50¢

17 outcomes

$13.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 200000? — Above 200K

Yes63¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump pull more than 10 000 troops from Germany before the end of his term?

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Ɱ156 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

$1.7K Vol▼ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will become the next permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party after Kemi Badenoch?

Other48¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ8.1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Lecornu out as French PM by July 31, 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$965 Vol▼ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$14.8K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes26¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?

Yes74¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Democrat89¢

13 outcomes

$23K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Governor General Election be above 590000? — Above 590K

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$690 Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Governor General Election be above 630000? — Above 630K

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

▲ 0pts1y