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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 181 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4153 US elections 3052 Foreign politics 534 Political Leader Tenure 391 Future US Presidents 255 US Political Timelines 211 Leader Tenure Predictions 128 US Political Future 116 Presidential Candidacy 80 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 17 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,417 markets · page 181 of 268

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on Trump doing the following things, will Trump be impeached in the House and convicted by the Senate?

Orders nuclear strike on domestic soil62¢

22 outcomes

Ɱ6.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…179180181182183…268Next ›

Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 02 House General Election be above 280000? — Above 280K

Yes34¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

KS-02 House Election Winner

Republican Party86¢

8 outcomes

$8.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump keep the position of the President of the USA for all of 2026?

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

Ɱ417 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 02 House General Election be above 290000? — Above 290K

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

KS-03 House Election Winner

Democratic Party89¢

8 outcomes

$20.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump shoot someone on 5th ave before he dies?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ3.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 03 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

KY-02 House Election Winner

Republican Party94¢

8 outcomes

$9.7K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden become a centenarian?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ665 Vol▲ 0pts16y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 03 House General Election be above 240000? — Above 240K

Yes65¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

KY-03 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$22.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on Trump assuming the presidency in 2025, will he be ousted by a military coup?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 03 House General Election be above 250000? — Above 250K

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

KY-04 House Election Winner

Republican Party93¢

8 outcomes

$32.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will democrats win the presidency, the House and the Senate in the 2028 election?

The 46% odds for a Democratic trifecta in 2028 reflect a market that sees the party as a slight underdog despite favorable midterm dynamics, because the presidency is the hardest piece to win and early 2028 primary jostling is already underway.

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

Ɱ796 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 03 House General Election be above 270000? — Above 270K

Yes31¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

KY-05 House Election Winner

Republican Party95¢

8 outcomes

$28.9K Vol▲ 1pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump effectively control policy of a future, 2029-2033 GoP president?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Polymarket

Open

KY-06 House Election Winner

Republican Party72¢

8 outcomes

$32.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 03 House General Election be above 280000? — Above 280K

Yes16¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

LA-02 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95¢

8 outcomes

$60.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

What will AOC do in 2028?

Run for PRESIDENT52¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ3.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 03 House General Election be above 180000? — Above 180K

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

▲ 0pts1y