Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
4,791 markets · page 189 of 200
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
4,791 markets · page 189 of 200
5 outcomes
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Yes ≈ 2% chance
2 outcomes
3 outcomes
12 outcomes
The market is nearly certain that Hickenlooper will win his primary by a wide margin, reflecting the absence of any serious challenger and his strong fundraising and legislative activity, which together suggest a low bar to clear the 3% threshold.
Yes ≈ 99% chance
The primary is over and Hickenlooper won, but the market's 1% Yes odds show bettors are convinced the margin of victory will be under 9%, likely confirmed by early results (NYT, Jul 10).
Yes ≈ 1% chance