Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
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Putin out as President of Russia by...?
The field is extremely diffuse, with no single candidate above 9% and the top three summing only 12%, reflecting a market that sees Putin's departure as possible but highly unpredictable in timing. The biggest recent shift is a surge in bets on a 2026 exit, driven by Polymarket activity and a former advisor's warning that war spending chaos could trigger regime collapse (NBC News, Jul 1; Fortune, Jun 27).
December 31, 20269¢
2 outcomes
$18.3M Vol 0pts11mo