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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 19 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 2853 US elections 1716 President ✨ 701 Foreign politics 238 Future US Presidents 211 US Political Timelines 111 Presidential Candidacy 64 Leader Tenure Predictions 60 Person of the Year Awards 11

760 markets · page 19 of 32

Kalshi

Open

Will the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announce a decision to pursue the division of PJM Interconnection into two or more independently governed regional grid operators before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$85 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

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Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Freedom250’s July 4, 2026 fireworks display is certified or recognized by Guinness World Records as a world record before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes86¢

No14¢

Yes ≈ 86% chance

$828 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year become law before Jan 1, 2027? — At least 1 year

The provided headlines contain no information about FISA Section 702 reauthorization, so the current odds (Yes 45%) reflect only underlying political dynamics and legislative history, not any recent news event.

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

$5.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years become law before Jan 1, 2027? — At least 2 years

With no recent news on FISA 702 reauthorization, the market reflects a cautious 42% chance that Congress will pass a 2-year extension before 2027, balancing historical precedent against a tight legislative calendar.

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2027? — At least 30 days

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

$7.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 5 years become law before Jan 1, 2027? — At least 5 years

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027? — At least 90 days

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

$4.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume before 2027? — Before 2027

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$9.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will NYC buses become free before 2027? — In 2026

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$28.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump make IVF free? — Before 2029

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$35.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Jacob Frey leave as Mayor of Minneapolis before 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$30.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

$24K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? — Argentina

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$2.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? — China

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

European Union

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$172 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? — India

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$234 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? — Indonesia

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? — Kenya

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$901 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? — Switzerland

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? — Taiwan

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$900 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

United Kingdom

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$126 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029? — Before 2029

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$67.9K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$600 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$312 Vol▲ 0pts1y