Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
4,938 markets · page 198 of 206
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
4,938 markets · page 198 of 206
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Aimee Bock, convicted as the mastermind of the $250 million Feeding Our Future fraud, received a 500-month (41.5-year) sentence in May 2026 and is now appealing, making a presidential pardon before January 2027 extremely unlikely given the severity of the crime and the lack of any signal from the Trump administration.
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance