Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
4,903 markets · page 199 of 205
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
4,903 markets · page 199 of 205
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Yes ≈ 19% chance
Yes ≈ 38% chance
Yes ≈ 42% chance
Yes ≈ 26% chance
Yes ≈ 34% chance
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 46% chance
Yes ≈ 42% chance
Yes ≈ 61% chance
Yes ≈ 12% chance
Yes ≈ 40% chance
Yes ≈ 35% chance
Yes ≈ 18% chance
The market heavily discounts a Trump family member becoming the 2028 Republican nominee, reflecting both Trump's term limit and the lack of a clear heir apparent, despite ongoing speculation and family involvement in his administration.
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Yes ≈ 12% chance
Yes ≈ 50% chance