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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 2 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3786 US elections 2657 Foreign politics 400 Political Leader Tenure 336 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 US Political Milestones ✨ 30 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

251 markets · page 2 of 11

Kalshi

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$426 Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

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Will Paul Christiano shake the US president's hand by 2027

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ4K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$465 Vol11mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$6K Vol▼ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a former US president accuse Trump of interfering with the 2026 mid-term elections, before March 2027?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol7mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027? — Before Oct 1, 2027

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

$841 Vol1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$14.7K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mr. Beast run for President of the United States before EOY 2040?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol14y

Kalshi

Open

Will Ron DeSantis announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$311 Vol5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$60.7K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a woman walk on Mars before a woman is president of the United States?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ7.4K Vol—

Kalshi

Open

Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$660 Vol1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

Ɱ11.4K Vol14y

Kalshi

Open

Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

$960 Vol8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

The President of the United States in February 2029 will be someone who never had held elected political office prior to 2023.

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ263 Vol2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$2.4K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any past or current president of the United States create a market on Manifold by end of 2050?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol—

Kalshi

Open

Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$19 Vol11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance be the first millennial president of the United States ?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ609 Vol—

Kalshi

Open

Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027? — Before Oct 1, 2027

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

$704 Vol1y

Manifold· Play

Open

J.D. Vance becomes next US president?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$29 Vol8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ3.8K Vol16y

Kalshi

Open

Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$4 Vol5mo