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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 2 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3786 US elections 2657 Foreign politics 400 Political Leader Tenure 336 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 US Political Milestones ✨ 30 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

117 markets · page 2 of 5

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any of the people mentioned in the market in the description become US President at some point in their life?

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ231 Vol13y

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev12345Next ›

Will Kamala Harris be US President (for any length of time) before 2030?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ329 Vol3y

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Open

Will there be a third party US president before 2050.

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ1K Vol—

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Open

Will Donald Trump be ranked as the worst US President by the end of his second term according to CSPAN's Survey?

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ19K Vol3y

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Open

Will a sitting US president visit El Salvador through 2029?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ231 Vol3y

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Will a technocrat be elected US president by 2040?

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ54 Vol13y

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"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol6y

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Open

Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?

Yes64¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol1y

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Open

Will Donald Trump resign as US President during his second term?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ19.4K Vol2y

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Biden is the last Democratic president?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol14y

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Will there ever be a Gen X US President?

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

Ɱ952 Vol—

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Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ16.9K Vol6y

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Will a US President (or Presidential Task Force) confirm an extraterrestrial or non-human intelligence by 2030?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol4y

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Open

Will Donald Trump be the first US President to live in exile?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ807 Vol1y

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Clarence Thomas becomes longest serving Supreme Court Justice?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ187 Vol1y

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Will Lex Fridman interview the next US President by 2029?

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

Ɱ605 Vol2y

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Open

US President states on video that COVID likely escaped from WIV, any time through 2026

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ92 Vol5mo

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Will there be another Impeachment of a US President before James Cameron's Avatar 4 comes out?

Yes70¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol4y

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Open

Will an elector from Washington, D.C. vote for a Republican President in the 21st century?

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

Ɱ319 Vol—

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Sitting US president visits Cuban Government Leaders in Cuba before 2034

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ329 Vol7y

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Open

Will Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ700 Vol2y

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Open

Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol2y

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Open

Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol6y

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A sitting US President becomes a parent while in office by mid 2036

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ281 Vol10y