Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 4153US elections 3052Foreign politics 534Political Leader Tenure 391Future US Presidents 255US Political Timelines 211Leader Tenure Predictions 128US Political Future 116Presidential Candidacy 80US Political Milestones ✨ 35Person of the Year Awards 17Sports & Political Leadership 9
5,192 markets · page 212 of 217
Kalshi
Open
Will Tou Thao receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
Yes18¢
No82¢
Yes ≈ 18% chance
$477 Vol 0pts2y
Kalshi
Open