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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 22 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3937 US elections 2828 Foreign politics 447 Political Leader Tenure 362 Future US Presidents 231 US Political Timelines 204 Leader Tenure Predictions 118 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 77 Person of the Year Awards 14 Sports & Political Leadership 10

732 markets · page 22 of 31

Manifold· Play

Open

Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ41.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…2021222324…31Next ›

Édouard Philippe

Yes84¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

$12.7K Vol8mo

Kalshi

Open

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Magdalena Andersson78¢

4 outcomes

$281 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?

Yes98¢

No3¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

Ɱ21.8K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$6.6K Vol8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027? — 20% or above

Yes36¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Xavier Bertrand

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2.6K Vol▼ 0pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027? — 30% or above

Yes16¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Laurent Wauquiez

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$20K Vol▼ 0pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the next UK general election?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ160 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the tariff rate on India imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027? — 20% or above

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$9K Vol8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Marine Le Pen Will be the next president of France.

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ13.7K Vol▲ 0pts9mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the tariff rate on India imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027? — 30% or above

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Bruno Retailleau

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

$8.9K Vol8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mexico be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ50 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the tariff rate on India imports be at least 50% on Jan 1, 2027? — 50% or above

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$8.4K Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2075?

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

Ɱ109 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the tariff rate on India imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027? — 10% or above

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Marine Tondelier

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$5.6K Vol8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If Reform wins the next UK general election, will the Online Safety Act 2023 be fully repealed by the election after?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ85 Vol▲ 0pts7y

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Canada before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$9.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo