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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 224 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3991 US elections 2880 Foreign politics 459 Political Leader Tenure 365 Future US Presidents 234 US Political Timelines 207 Leader Tenure Predictions 123 US Political Future 109 Presidential Candidacy 78 US Political Milestones ✨ 33 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,222 markets · page 224 of 260

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 04 House General Election be above 330000? — Above 330K

Yes50¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

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Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 04 House General Election be above 340000? — Above 340K

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a painting created by an AI sell for over $10 million at a major auction house by 2030?

Despite record-breaking traditional art sales (Modigliani at $63.9M, Artnet News Jun 24), no AI-generated artwork has ever approached $10M at auction, keeping the odds low at 31%.

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ4.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 3800000? — Above 3.80M

Yes52¢

No48¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

$1.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on Trump carrying out mass detention of migrants, will Elon Musk publicly break with Trump?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ467 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 3900000? — Above 3.90M

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

$205 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd by the end of 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ352 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 4100000? — Above 4.10M

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$9 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 4300000? — Above 4.30M

Yes27¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ350 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 4500000? — Above 4.50M

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

How many Democratic Representatives will New England elect in 2026?

2059¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes61¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 240000? — Above 240K

Yes49¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Memorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ127 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 260000? — Above 260K

Yes37¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald trump turn into a transgender lgbtq+ alien aka femboy and kill everybody in the world and resurrect epstein

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ985 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 270000? — Above 270K

Yes25¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump die in prison?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ13.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 280000? — Above 280K

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$127 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska Senate General Election be above 1010000? — Above 1.01M

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

▲ 0pts1y