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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 226 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4011 US elections 2912 Foreign politics 470 Political Leader Tenure 367 Future US Presidents 239 US Political Timelines 208 Leader Tenure Predictions 123 US Political Future 112 Presidential Candidacy 79 US Political Milestones ✨ 34 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,242 markets · page 226 of 261

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd by the end of 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ352 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

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Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 156000? — Above 156K

Yes24¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 163000? — Above 163K

Yes18¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 170000? — Above 170K

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$901 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ350 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 3400000? — Above 3.40M

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

How many Democratic Representatives will New England elect in 2026?

2059¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 3600000? — Above 3.60M

Yes21¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 3800000? — Above 3.80M

Yes14¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Memorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ127 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 4000000? — Above 4.00M

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald trump turn into a transgender lgbtq+ alien aka femboy and kill everybody in the world and resurrect epstein

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ985 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 4200000? — Above 4.20M

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump die in prison?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ13.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 4400000? — Above 4.40M

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 4600000? — Above 4.60M

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

By 2029, will there be an FDA approval of GLP-1 for a substance use disorder?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 4800000? — Above 4.80M

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

When will the U.S. Supreme Court stop having a conservative majority?

After 2070 (or never)40¢

10 outcomes

Ɱ6.8K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 01 House General Election be above 250000? — Above 250K

Yes89¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump wins the 2024 election, will his VP pick become president before the 2028 election?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ383 Vol▲ 0pts2y