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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 227 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4046 US elections 2939 Foreign politics 487 Political Leader Tenure 371 Future US Presidents 241 US Political Timelines 210 Leader Tenure Predictions 124 US Political Future 112 Presidential Candidacy 79 US Political Milestones ✨ 34 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,308 markets · page 227 of 263

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 3800000? — Above 3.80M

Yes14¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

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Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?

The market heavily discounts a US purchase of Greenland despite a January 2026 'framework' deal, because the announced agreement appears limited to security cooperation rather than a territorial transfer, and Denmark's alliance concerns remain unresolved.

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ774K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 4000000? — Above 4.00M

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 4200000? — Above 4.20M

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we get tarrifs on Chinese microtransaction in Trump's America?

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ164 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 4400000? — Above 4.40M

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ862 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 4600000? — Above 4.60M

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald J. Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ169 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 4800000? — Above 4.80M

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump publicly disparage Chief Justice John Roberts during his second term?

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

Ɱ199 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 01 House General Election be above 250000? — Above 250K

Yes89¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump enforce the ban on TikTok during his presidency?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ983 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 01 House General Election be above 260000? — Above 260K

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 01 House General Election be above 280000? — Above 280K

Yes67¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be a government shutdown before January 2027?

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ106 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 01 House General Election be above 290000? — Above 290K

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person in year 2029?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ58 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 01 House General Election be above 300000? — Above 300K

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$8 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Ghislane Maxwell be pardoned by Trump before 1/1/2029?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ11.9K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 195000? — Above 195K

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$0 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance (or another VP) pardon Donald Trump before the scheduled end of Trump's 2nd term?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ834 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 200000? — Above 200K

Yes63¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will major media publish stronger evidence of Trump’s cognitive decline?

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

Ɱ564 Vol▲ 0pts5mo