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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 228 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4046 US elections 2939 Foreign politics 487 Political Leader Tenure 371 Future US Presidents 241 US Political Timelines 210 Leader Tenure Predictions 124 US Political Future 112 Presidential Candidacy 79 US Political Milestones ✨ 34 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,308 markets · page 228 of 263

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

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Will Andrew Tate get a government position in the US during Trump's term?

Yes4¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ472 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump awards Presidential Medal of Freedom to January 6 insurrectionist

Yes50¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ546 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes26¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ818 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 1010000? — Above 1.01M

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden live to see the Russia-Ukraine war end?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ8.8K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 1050000? — Above 1.05M

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Barron Trump be elected President in 2040?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ711 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 1100000? — Above 1.10M

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 800000? — Above 800K

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 840000? — Above 840K

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a painting created by an AI sell for over $10 million at a major auction house by 2030?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ4.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 880000? — Above 880K

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on Trump carrying out mass detention of migrants, will Elon Musk publicly break with Trump?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ467 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 920000? — Above 920K

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd by the end of 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ352 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 960000? — Above 960K

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$220 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New York 10 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

Yes52¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ350 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in New York 10 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

▲ 0pts1y