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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 232 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4092 US elections 2980 Foreign politics 505 Political Leader Tenure 381 Future US Presidents 248 US Political Timelines 211 Leader Tenure Predictions 128 US Political Future 115 Presidential Candidacy 79 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 17 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,341 markets · page 232 of 265

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a painting created by an AI sell for over $10 million at a major auction house by 2030?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ4.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

‹ Prev1…230231232233234…265Next ›

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 4300000? — Above 4.30M

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on Trump carrying out mass detention of migrants, will Elon Musk publicly break with Trump?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ467 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 4500000? — Above 4.50M

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd by the end of 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ352 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 4700000? — Above 4.70M

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 4900000? — Above 4.90M

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ350 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

Yes76¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

How many Democratic Representatives will New England elect in 2026?

2059¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes41¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Memorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ127 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 240000? — Above 240K

Yes23¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald trump turn into a transgender lgbtq+ alien aka femboy and kill everybody in the world and resurrect epstein

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ985 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 250000? — Above 250K

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump die in prison?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ13.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

By 2029, will there be an FDA approval of GLP-1 for a substance use disorder?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

▲ 0pts1y