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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 233 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4098 US elections 2990 Foreign politics 507 Political Leader Tenure 382 Future US Presidents 249 US Political Timelines 211 Leader Tenure Predictions 128 US Political Future 115 Presidential Candidacy 79 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 17 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,358 markets · page 233 of 265

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 4900000? — Above 4.90M

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…231232233234235…265Next ›

Will Andrew Tate get a government position in the US during Trump's term?

Yes4¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ472 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

Yes76¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump awards Presidential Medal of Freedom to January 6 insurrectionist

Yes50¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ546 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ818 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes41¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden live to see the Russia-Ukraine war end?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ8.8K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 240000? — Above 240K

Yes23¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Barron Trump be elected President in 2040?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ711 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 250000? — Above 250K

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

The market heavily favors a Yes resolution at 90%, but the provided headlines are entirely unrelated to Oklahoma 05 election turnout, suggesting the odds are driven by generic assumptions about high midterm participation rather than any specific local or national catalyst.

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a painting created by an AI sell for over $10 million at a major auction house by 2030?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ4.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on Trump carrying out mass detention of migrants, will Elon Musk publicly break with Trump?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ467 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

The market is pricing a 69% chance that total votes in Oklahoma's 5th district exceed 230,000, a threshold that roughly matches the 2022 midterm turnout, implying the market expects a slightly higher turnout possibly due to a competitive race or population growth, but with no recent election-specific news to justify the move.

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd by the end of 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ352 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 240000? — Above 240K

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$237 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 250000? — Above 250K

Yes51¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ350 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 260000? — Above 260K

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

How many Democratic Representatives will New England elect in 2026?

2059¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo