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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 236 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4136 US elections 3024 Foreign politics 519 Political Leader Tenure 384 Future US Presidents 251 US Political Timelines 212 Leader Tenure Predictions 128 US Political Future 116 Presidential Candidacy 80 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 17 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,384 markets · page 236 of 266

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on Trump carrying out mass detention of migrants, will Elon Musk publicly break with Trump?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ467 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

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Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 05 House General Election be above 320000? — Above 320K

Yes60¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd by the end of 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ352 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 05 House General Election be above 340000? — Above 340K

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

$4 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 05 House General Election be above 350000? — Above 350K

Yes34¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ350 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 10 House General Election be above 310000? — Above 310K

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

How many Democratic Representatives will New England elect in 2026?

2059¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 10 House General Election be above 330000? — Above 330K

Yes63¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 10 House General Election be above 340000? — Above 340K

Yes52¢

No48¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Memorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ127 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 10 House General Election be above 360000? — Above 360K

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald trump turn into a transgender lgbtq+ alien aka femboy and kill everybody in the world and resurrect epstein

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ985 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 10 House General Election be above 370000? — Above 370K

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump die in prison?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ13.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 12 House General Election be above 330000? — Above 330K

Yes76¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 12 House General Election be above 340000? — Above 340K

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

By 2029, will there be an FDA approval of GLP-1 for a substance use disorder?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 12 House General Election be above 360000? — Above 360K

Yes41¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

When will the U.S. Supreme Court stop having a conservative majority?

After 2070 (or never)40¢

10 outcomes

Ɱ6.8K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 12 House General Election be above 380000? — Above 380K

Yes23¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

▲ 0pts1y