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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 33 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4223 US elections 3121 Foreign politics 564 Political Leader Tenure 396 Future US Presidents 257 US Political Timelines 212 Leader Tenure Predictions 133 US Political Future 118 Presidential Candidacy 80 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,497 markets · page 33 of 271

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…3132333435…271Next ›

Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?

Yes27¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$1K Vol▲ 6pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$56.9K Vol▼ 3pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un meet in person in year 2027?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ51 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

$23.3K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $35M in total receipts during Q3? — Above $35M

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$2.7K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Trump administration enact Medicare For All

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

MS-02 House Election Winner

Democratic Party92¢

8 outcomes

$34.8K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by Nebraska Secretary of State that the Nebraska Secretary of State certifies Cindy Burbank as a candidate to be placed on the November 3, 2026 statewide general-election ballot for U.S. Senate before Sep 16, 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$9.8K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump seizes Panama Canal in second term?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ534 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will "House" be in the headlines this week?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$588 Vol▼ 49pts1h

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 45% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub? — Above 45%

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$12.1K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Yes30¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$527 Vol▼ 5pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?

before Mar 31, 202880¢

14 outcomes

Ɱ2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$932 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?

Yes85¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$813 Vol▼ 1pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

When will Trump serve time?

The field is extremely concentrated on 'Never' at 90%, with almost no probability assigned to any specific year, meaning the market sees Trump's death or a pardon before any custodial sentence as the overwhelming likely outcome — the recent headlines about assassination attempts and security controversies (The New York Times, Jul 24; The Times, Jul 24; Time Magazine, Jul 20) reinforce a narrative of mortal threat and elite protection, but they have not shifted the 'Never' probability upward because it was already dominant, so the biggest recent change is the near-zero odds for 2024 and 2025, which collapsed as those years passed without a sentence.

Never90¢

10 outcomes

Ɱ1.9M Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Nov 2026? — Before Nov 2026

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

$407 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)

Angela Gonzales-Torres54¢

6 outcomes

$5.4K Vol▼ 2pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will nuclear energy generation be above 800 TWh in 2028?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ105 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Wyoming Senate winner?

Republican party97¢

2 outcomes

$10.8K Vol▼ 1pts1y

Polymarket

Open

NJ-01 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$34.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will President Trump issue any executive action on declassifying or releasing records related to unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) or UFOs before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$13.5K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y