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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 359 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4175 US elections 3068 Foreign politics 534 Political Leader Tenure 393 Future US Presidents 256 US Political Timelines 212 Leader Tenure Predictions 131 US Political Future 117 Presidential Candidacy 80 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

11,653 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 359 of 417

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 24+ pts

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…357358359360361…417Next ›

If Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 26+ pts

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

▼ 1pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 28+ pts

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before the end of 2029?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ798 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 32+ pts

Yes25¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

▼ 1pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Labour wins next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

Ɱ33 Vol▲ 0pts7y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 34+ pts

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump be impeached again during his second term?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 36+ pts

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Gibran Rakabuming Raka Ever Be President of Indonesia Before '29 Election?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ105 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 3+ pts

The market sees a Democratic win in Texas by 3+ points as highly unlikely, reflecting the state's long Republican dominance and recent signs of Democratic weakness in the South, even as national headwinds against Trump offer a theoretical opening.

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$1.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump veto the UK's Chagos Islands deal?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ326 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 12+ pts

The market heavily favors a Republican win in Texas but doubts a blowout margin of 12+ points, reflecting a tension between Texas's red lean and national headwinds that could suppress GOP turnout or boost Democratic enthusiasm.

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be a basic State Pension increase below the Triple Lock level by the next UK general election after 2025?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ20 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 15+ pts

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Daniel Lurie allows federalized troop deployment in San Francisco, during combined tenure with Donald Trump?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ1 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 18+ pts

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Ɱ3.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 21+ pts

The market assigns only a 6% chance to a 21-point Republican blowout in Texas, reflecting that recent gubernatorial margins have been 11-13 points and no current polling or events suggest a dramatic shift.

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$3 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 3+ pts

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

$123 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Zuranolone gets FDA approval for some other condition

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ264 Vol▲ 0pts7mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 9+ pts

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$309 Vol▲ 0pts1y