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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 4 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3809 US elections 2676 Foreign politics 402 Political Leader Tenure 338 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

157 markets · page 4 of 7

Polymarket

Open

Netanyahu out by July 31?

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$188K Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

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Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person in year 2027?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ44 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$84.1K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop being president of Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine war ends.

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ5K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Polymarket

Open

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Yes21¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$89.9K Vol▲ 3pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2028?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Zelenskyy # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?

60-7936¢

11 outcomes

$561 Vol▲ 5pts9d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin meet in person in year 2029?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ435 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$1.3M Vol2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have been photographed in a room or near a US president?

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ34 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$83.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?

Markets see Putin's grip as nearly unshakeable despite mounting international pressure to end the Ukraine war, because none of the recent diplomatic or economic measures target his removal.

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ20K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$575K Vol5mo

Polymarket

Open

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$87.8K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2026?

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

Ɱ4.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Zelenskyy # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?

60-7940¢

11 outcomes

$2.9K Vol▼ 1pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Putin shakes hands with Trump at G20 Summit in Miami?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ115 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Vladimir Putin

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$2.8K Vol▼ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Daniel Lurie allows federalized troop deployment in San Francisco, during combined tenure with Donald Trump?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ1 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$105K Vol▼ 6pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?

The market heavily expects Putin to remain president when the war ends, but the real story is that this bet reflects a belief that the war will end through negotiation or frozen conflict rather than a decisive Russian defeat that triggers regime change.

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ21.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$37.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

Ɱ990 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Kash Patel out by July 31?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$58.8K Vol▼ 0pts4d