Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
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Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026
The field is extremely concentrated on Ciro Gomes (67%) despite the headlined races being entirely unrelated—Bangkok, California, Tamil Nadu, and Nigeria—meaning no local Ceará news drives a shift: the biggest recent move is the market's persistent inertia, not any actual event.
Ciro Gomes59¢
4 outcomes
$308 Vol 0pts2mo
Polymarket