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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 404 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3978 US elections 2874 Foreign politics 460 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 235 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 111 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

11,191 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 404 of 417

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 3900000? — Above 3.90M

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

$205 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

‹ Prev1…402403404405406…417Next ›

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 4100000? — Above 4.10M

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$9 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Status of Greenland in 2035?

Territory of Denmark62¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ15.6K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 4300000? — Above 4.30M

Yes27¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030?

The 15% Yes odds reflect a low but non-zero risk of presidential assassination, with no recent credible threats indicated by the normalcy of ex-presidents gathering publicly.

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 4500000? — Above 4.50M

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Barron Trump and Ivanka Trump be President?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ923 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes61¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb?

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ6.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 240000? — Above 240K

Yes49¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the POTUS elected in 2032?

Other61¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ5.1K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 260000? — Above 260K

Yes37¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic primary for PA Senate Seat?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 270000? — Above 270K

Yes25¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

On Jan 1st 2040 will there be more Waffle House locations in the USA than there are officially released Pokemon?

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ63 Vol▲ 0pts13y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 280000? — Above 280K

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$127 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?

The market heavily discounts a US purchase of Greenland despite a January 2026 'framework' deal, because the announced agreement appears limited to security cooperation rather than a territorial transfer, and Denmark's alliance concerns remain unresolved.

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ774K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska Senate General Election be above 1010000? — Above 1.01M

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we get tarrifs on Chinese microtransaction in Trump's America?

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ164 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska Senate General Election be above 1060000? — Above 1.06M

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald J. Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029?

The near-even odds reflect deep Democratic indecision on a third Trump impeachment and active Republican efforts to void past impeachments, making the outcome less about new scandals than about political will and House control.

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ169 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska Senate General Election be above 1100000? — Above 1.10M

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump publicly disparage Chief Justice John Roberts during his second term?

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

Ɱ199 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska Senate General Election be above 770000? — Above 770K

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

▲ 0pts1y