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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 5 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3809 US elections 2676 Foreign politics 402 Political Leader Tenure 338 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

157 markets · page 5 of 7

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Nikolai Patrushev or Dmitry Patrushev succeed Vladimir Putin as president of Russia?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…34567Next ›

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$212K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

TRUMP TIRARÁ LULA DO PODER ATÉ O DIA 31/12/2026

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ310 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$63.5K Vol▲ 1pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Lex Fridman publicly stated he plans to interview Putin in January 2025, but the market heavily doubts it will happen while Putin remains president, likely due to Fridman's lack of access and the geopolitical sensitivity of such a meeting.

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ35.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$9.6K Vol▲ 0pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Putin lose his position as President of Russia before the end of his term, May 6, 2030?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ194 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$33.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person in year 2028?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ84 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$42.1K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$4.3K Vol▼ 6pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ17.9K Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Trump meets with Putin by September 30?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$32.8K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

2026: Putin's approval in Russia decreases?

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

Ɱ347 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Vladimir Putin

Yes32¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

$24.1K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ15.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? — September 30, 2026

Yes2¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$57K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Putin be President or Prime Minister of Russia when he dies?

Yes83¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 83% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$203K Vol▲ 1pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ339 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? — September 30, 2026

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$134K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2030?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ715 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? — December 31, 2026

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$57.1K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the ECB the 1st November of 2027?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ202 Vol▲ 0pts1y