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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 5 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3786 US elections 2657 Foreign politics 400 Political Leader Tenure 336 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 US Political Milestones ✨ 30 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

117 markets · page 5 of 5

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?

Yes14¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ4K Vol5mo

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Open

‹ Prev1…345

Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ125 Vol2y

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US president makes official announcement confirming UFOs or extraterrestrials before 2033?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol6y

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Will a Democratic President confiscate the coins?

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

Ɱ129 Vol—

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Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ309 Vol5mo

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Was the first female US President born before 2000?

Yes83¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 83% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol—

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Will the next non Republican president remove Trump's name from the Kennedy Center in their first year?

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ179 Vol3y

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Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Ɱ398 Vol—

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If a Republican president is elected in the 2024 US election, will the federal minimum wage increase above $7.25/hr?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ192 Vol2y

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Trump is US President on December 31, 2026?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol5mo

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Will a person under the age of 60 be elected US President in 2028?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol2y

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Will any current or former US President or member of the Cabinet identify as a furry by 2039?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol12y

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Will any former or current US president openly support sedition before January 1st, 2030?

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol3y

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Will a female be elected US president in 2028?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ249 Vol2y

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Will Donald Trump be the last US president?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol3y

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Will there be a US president who identifies as female by end of 2035?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ11.7K Vol9y

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Was the first female US President born before 1990?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol—

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Memorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ127 Vol2y

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Will the next Non Republican president abolish ICE?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol12y

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Will Jimmy Carter still hold the record for longest-lived US president at the end of 2075?

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

Ɱ192 Vol—

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Will Donald Trump stop being US president in 2029?

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol3y