Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 5 | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3809 US elections 2676 Foreign politics 402 Political Leader Tenure 338 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

1,057 markets · page 5 of 45

Kalshi

Open

Will Todd Blanche leaves Deputy Attorney General in before 2027?

Yes86¢

No14¢

Yes ≈ 86% chance

$116K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…34567…45Next ›

eric and lara trump divorce before 2029?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ80 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$135K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$189K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ202 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Keonne Rodriguez

Yes14¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$15.2K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029 — Before Jan 1, 2029

The 22nd Amendment's repeal or reinterpretation before 2029 is a long shot, with the 7% Yes odds reflecting speculative chatter around Trump's third-term ambitions rather than any concrete legislative or judicial momentum.

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$258K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? — ↓ 2.75%

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$341K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump get his third impeachment before 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ762 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Pam Bondi be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$20.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$58.5K Vol▼ 4pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ619 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? — Before 2027

Despite Reza Pahlavi's active campaigning and the power vacuum after Khamenei's death, the market heavily doubts US recognition because the Trump administration has expressed skepticism and wants a role in selecting Iran's next leader, not necessarily Pahlavi.

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$994K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$232K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a prediction market-related court case reach the Supreme Court before 2029?

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ93 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

The market heavily discounts an Alito retirement before 2027 after a high-profile NPR retraction of a false retirement story, but Senate GOP planning for a potential vacancy suggests the possibility is not entirely off the table.

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$262K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$18.3K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will any federal or state court rule finds that fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states? — Before 2027

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$45.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Macron has publicly stated he will leave politics in 2027, and the market sees his early departure before that date as extremely unlikely given no constitutional mechanism or scandal forcing him out.

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ34.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Julian Assange

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2.3K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a systemwide University of California policy reinstating a requirement that first-year undergraduate applicants submit SAT or ACT scores for admission is formally adopted before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

$1.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump nuke Iran before 2027?

Yes3¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ14.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

EU dissolves before 2027?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$178K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump veto at least 3 bills before Jan 1, 2027? — At least 3

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$4.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo