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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 55 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3809 US elections 2676 Foreign politics 402 Political Leader Tenure 338 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

4,815 markets · page 55 of 201

Manifold· Play

Open

US court case where Ableman v. Booth is material on the Supremacy Clause before midterm elections?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ70 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…5354555657…201Next ›

Delaware Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Chris Coons96¢

29 outcomes

$13.7K Vol▼ 0pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — J.B. Pritzker

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$8.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will most people use a “rectangle” as their primary device in 2034?

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Polymarket

Open

TN-05 House Election Winner

Republican Party83¢

8 outcomes

$39.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Josh Shapiro

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Therese Terlaje55¢

18 outcomes

$33K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Free & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ3.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Jon Stewart

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$13.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$2.3K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will I have to show my ID to get full access to Discord or Twitter at the time of the next UK election?

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ260 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

James Talarico

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$330 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner

Elaine Pelino61¢

21 outcomes

$25.4K Vol▲ 1pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Prime Minister of India after the next election be from the Bharatiya Janata Party?

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

Ɱ321 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Mark Cuban

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$14.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$14.4K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If Zelenskyy runs for re-election before 2028, will he win?

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Mark Kelly

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

$19K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$8.5K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Bongbong Marcos declare martial law in his first presidential term?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ133 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Mitch Landrieu

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$638 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

273¢

6 outcomes

$29.9K Vol▲ 14pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

The field is highly concentrated at the top, with Vance, Newsom, and Shapiro collectively commanding 85% of the probability, but the recent US-Iran deal (NBC News, Jun 18) has shifted focus to foreign policy, potentially boosting candidates with national security credentials while sidelining others.

J. D. Vance44¢

111 outcomes

Ɱ134K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Mikie Sherrill

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$902 Vol▲ 0pts1y