Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
157 markets · page 6 of 7
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
157 markets · page 6 of 7
The 80% No odds reflect the simple fact that Joe Biden is a decade older than Vladimir Putin, a gap that generally outweighs differences in healthcare access and lifestyle. The market is pricing in a low probability of Biden outliving Putin, consistent with actuarial expectations for a pair of men in their 80s and 70s respectively.
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Yes ≈ 35% chance
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Yes ≈ 10% chance