Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 3848US elections 2721Foreign politics 415Political Leader Tenure 344Future US Presidents 218US Political Timelines 202Leader Tenure Predictions 116US Political Future 105Presidential Candidacy 74Person of the Year Awards 12Sports & Political Leadership 10
6,101 markets · page 6 of 255
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Will Trump go to the hospital this month?
The market heavily discounts a Trump hospitalization this month, but the sparse public health data and his past secrecy around medical details leave a non-trivial tail risk that a sudden event could force a hospital visit.
Yes4¢
No96¢
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Ɱ577 Vol 0pts5d