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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 7 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3857 US elections 2735 Foreign politics 418 Political Leader Tenure 347 Future US Presidents 223 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 74 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

415 markets · page 7 of 18

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

Ɱ13.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

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Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

$960 Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$2.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$19 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Sam Altman Run For President of the USA by 2060?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027? — Before Oct 1, 2027

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

$704 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029

Donald Trump80¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ15.4K Vol2y

Kalshi

Open

Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Michael Faulkender39¢

5 outcomes

$22 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be another non-white President of the United States before the end of 2032?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$29 Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

On the day before the 2029 inauguration, who will be the President of the United States?

Donald J. Trump70¢

13 outcomes

Ɱ17.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Despite Ossoff's explicit denial, a surge of media speculation and a Trump attack have boosted the Yes odds by 5 points, suggesting the market is pricing in a shift from 'no way' to 'maybe'.

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$4 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be a female president of the United States before China and Taiwan go to war?

Yes31¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ12.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

$75 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will LeBron James ever be President Of The US

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ640 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027? — Before Oct 1, 2027

Ossoff's odds have dropped sharply despite a flurry of positive media attention, suggesting the market is weighing his explicit denial more heavily than the draft movement or favorable profiles.

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

$17 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?

Marine Le Pen27¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ18.5K Vol▲ 0pts10mo

Kalshi

Open

Will become President of the United States before 2045? — Before 2045

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$37.1K Vol▲ 0pts18y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any sitting SCOTUS justice be impeached this decade?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ349 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will José María Balcázar be impeached before Jul 29, 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$1.7K Vol▲ 0pts2d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Pickleball be an official Olympic event before the first female president of the United States ?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ2K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will Florentino Pérez leave from being President of Real Madrid in 2026?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$9.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a vice president with the cabinet lead a coup against the president of the United States in the 21st century?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ76 Vol▲ 0pts—