Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
4,874 markets · page 7 of 204
4 outcomes
The field is dominated by two scenarios — split control (Democratic House, Republican Senate) at 45% and a Democratic sweep at 41% — but recent polls signal a tightening Senate map that is narrowing the gap between them (Delawareonline.com, Jul 22).
5 outcomes
2 outcomes
20 outcomes
The field is moderately concentrated, with the top three candidates summing to 51%, but the recent surge of Troy Jackson in Maine Senate headlines has no direct bearing on the 2028 presidential race, leaving the current odds driven by pre-existing name recognition and speculation rather than new presidential campaign events.
81 outcomes
2 outcomes
Yes ≈ 5% chance
2 outcomes
Trump's continued influence, demonstrated by his intercession in a House race and disaster aid allocation (NYT, ABC News, Jul 3), keeps his former running mate JD Vance as the clear front-runner, but the field remains fragmented with many candidates below 5%, suggesting the race is far from settled.
19 outcomes
9 outcomes
Yes ≈ 22% chance