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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 77 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4153 US elections 3052 Foreign politics 534 Political Leader Tenure 391 Future US Presidents 255 US Political Timelines 211 Leader Tenure Predictions 128 US Political Future 116 Presidential Candidacy 80 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 17 Sports & Political Leadership 9

5,192 markets · page 77 of 217

Polymarket

Open

Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes98¢

No3¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

$16.9K Vol▲ 2pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…7576777879…217Next ›

Gérald Darmanin

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

$0 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Did the 2028 Democratic Nominee win any major office election in 2026?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ10 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes97¢

No3¢

Yes ≈ 97% chance

$19.4K Vol3mo

Kalshi

Open

Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella's path to the 2027 French presidential ballot is blocked by Marine Le Pen's return as the National Rally's presumptive candidate, making his appearance on the official list highly unlikely unless Le Pen is disqualified or steps aside.

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$72 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Admiral Frank "Mitch" Bradley be removed by any means before the 2026 Midterm Elections?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

North Carolina

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$11.8K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Jérôme Guedj appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Jérôme Guedj, a Socialist Party deputy, faces extremely long odds to make the 2027 presidential ballot because he lacks national name recognition, party machinery, and any recent polling or media traction that would suggest a viable campaign.

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$6 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes98¢

No2¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

$7.3K Vol▼ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will (any) Trump run against (any) Obama in the 2028 presidential election?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ6.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Mélenchon's formal bid announcement in May 2026 (Yahoo News UK, May 4) has pushed odds to 87%, but his candidacy faces significant internal left-wing opposition, as his party's dominance is contested by other left factions (Yahoo News Singapore, May 6), creating a real risk of failure to secure official certification.

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

$6 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

$93.4K Vol3mo

Kalshi

Open

Karim Bouamrane

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$6 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Gitmo or Cecot transition from concentration camps to full blown extermination camps by the 2028 US election?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ344 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes98¢

No2¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

$7K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$6 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

2026 California Insurance Commissioner election

Jane Kim49¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$16K Vol3mo

Kalshi

Open

Marine Tondelier

Unless she can bridge the gap between her party's niche activism (climate leave, air-con politics) and wider voter concerns, Tondelier's odds remain very low; the far-right threat she warns about is currently the biggest obstacle to her candidacy being taken seriously.

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$8 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Montanas Democratic Nominee drop out or suspend campaigning?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ224 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

$4.5K Vol3mo

Kalshi

Open

Nathalie Arthaud

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

$9 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$8.4K Vol3mo