Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
4,903 markets · page 8 of 205
29 outcomes
32 outcomes
Yes ≈ 5% chance
2 outcomes
The field is effectively a two-party contest between Republicans (56%) and Democrats (44%), with no third party above 0%, but the Democrats' odds have been pressured by a late-stage candidate replacement in a must-win Maine race, where they swapped scandal-plagued Graham Platner for ex-GOP logger Troy Jackson (Bloomberg.com, Jul 25), a move that could either stabilize or further divide the base.
9 outcomes
12 outcomes
3 outcomes
Trump's continued influence, demonstrated by his intercession in a House race and disaster aid allocation (NYT, ABC News, Jul 3), keeps his former running mate JD Vance as the clear front-runner, but the field remains fragmented with many candidates below 5%, suggesting the race is far from settled.
19 outcomes
Yes ≈ 21% chance
2 outcomes
Yes ≈ 25% chance
2 outcomes
Yes ≈ 21% chance
2 outcomes
Yes ≈ 21% chance
2 outcomes