Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 9 | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3809 US elections 2676 Foreign politics 402 Political Leader Tenure 338 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

251 markets · page 9 of 11

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be another non-white President of the United States before 2060?

Yes83¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 83% chance

Ɱ276 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…7891011Next ›

Open

Will JD Vance be impeached during Trump's second term?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever be US President?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ3.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a US president die in office before the US adds another state

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

Ɱ198 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Sam Altman become president of the United States?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ401 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Zuckerberg run for US president in 2028

The market heavily discounts a Zuckerberg 2028 run, treating his recent Trump-aligned moves as calculated corporate survival—not the foundation of a White House bid—given the immense personal and professional cost of a campaign.

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ89.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Any US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ943 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk ever be President of the United States during his lifetime?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ9.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Taylor Swift run for president of the United States by EOY 2040?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ8.7K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump's vice president candidate in 2024 become president by the end of 2028?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ303 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Jamie Dimon run for president of the United States by 2040?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ933 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump wins the 2024 election, will his VP pick become president before the 2036 election?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ67 Vol▲ 0pts10y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a person who is not Joe Biden or Donald Trump become the de facto president of the United States before 2028?

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a female be elected US president in 2032?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ134 Vol▲ 0pts6y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be an assassination attempt on JD Vance before the end of 2026?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ317 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

The first female US president will be Republican

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

Ɱ3.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance "betray" Donald Trump?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ22.1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a black woman become president of the United States before the end of 2081?

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

Ɱ135 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a member of Generation X become president of the United States?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Ɱ340 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any current or former US president go to space before 2030?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ657 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a US president be impeached in the next 40 years?

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?

Yes14¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance shave the beard anytime before the 2028 election?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ7.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y