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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 10 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3915 US elections 2801 Foreign politics 437 Political Leader Tenure 356 Future US Presidents 228 US Political Timelines 204 Leader Tenure Predictions 118 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 75 Person of the Year Awards 14 Sports & Political Leadership 10

1,060 markets · page 10 of 45

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump pardon Gannon Ken Van Dyke before 2027?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…89101112…45Next ›

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? — ↓ 3.0%

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$291K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will crypto market structure legislation become law before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

$6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald J. Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ169 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$136K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Keonne Rodriguez

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$5.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will PPMD win a mainline numbered Big House or Genesis melee tournament before 2029?

Yes3¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$19.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Stephen Miller

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$104K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump Die before 2027

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ997 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$3.1K Vol▲ 6pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$8.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on JD Vance being president for at least six months before 2029, will he reduce Trump's tariffs?

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

Ɱ80 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$9K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033? — Before Jan 1, 2033

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$1.8K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be more than 9 Justices in the US Supreme Court on Jan 1, 2030?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ333 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$3.2K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029? — Before Jan 20, 2029

The 62% Yes odds reflect a market pricing in a non-US impeachment scenario, likely confusing the US presidency with foreign impeachment proceedings like the Philippines' Vice President Sara Duterte case, which dominates recent headlines.

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$469K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$3.9K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?

The market heavily discounts a Trump Cuba visit, but the real story is the administration's escalating rhetoric and sanctions against Cuba, which make a diplomatic visit politically toxic for Trump, while the island's deepening crisis and Democratic lawmakers' outreach create a contrasting narrative that could shift if Trump saw a political advantage in a surprise move.

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$45.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Gretchen Whitmer

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$1.6K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

George Clooney

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$5.1K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Gustavo Petro leave President of Colombia before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$189K Vol▲ 0pts5mo