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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 141 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4144 US elections 3031 Foreign politics 522 Political Leader Tenure 384 Future US Presidents 252 US Political Timelines 212 Leader Tenure Predictions 128 US Political Future 116 Presidential Candidacy 80 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 17 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,427 markets · page 141 of 268

Polymarket

Open

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes25¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$30.6K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

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Will the U.S. Institute of Peace exist at the end of Trump II?

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

Ɱ106 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

WV-01 House winner?

Carol Miller94¢

2 outcomes

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be over 215 Republican seats after the midterm elections in the House of Representatives?

Yes31¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ81 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

WV-02 House winner?

Riley Moore96¢

2 outcomes

$1.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

European Union

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$13.1K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

WY-AL House winner?

Republican party96¢

2 outcomes

$5.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?

Yes14¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$3.1K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the drug PP405 get FDA approval?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ235 Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

TX-09 House winner?

Alex Mealer81¢

2 outcomes

$11.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$4.4K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ42.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

UT-01 House winner?

Ben McAdams93¢

2 outcomes

$7.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?

Yes14¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$17.2K Vol▲ 4pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee in 2028?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ6.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

UT-02 House winner?

Blake Moore95¢

2 outcomes

$6.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$22.2K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

UT-03 House winner?

Celeste Maloy95¢

2 outcomes

$7.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?

Samuel Alito68¢

10 outcomes

Ɱ5.6K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$6.2K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

VA-10 House winner?

Democratic party95¢

2 outcomes

$4.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?

Yes16¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$2.7K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump wins, will the US score lower in the 2026 World Press Freedom, Corruption Perceptions AND Democracy Indexes?

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

Ɱ7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo