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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 143 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4117 US elections 3006 Foreign politics 515 Political Leader Tenure 382 Future US Presidents 250 US Political Timelines 211 Leader Tenure Predictions 128 US Political Future 115 Presidential Candidacy 80 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 17 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,364 markets · page 143 of 266

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump wins, will he or any member of his cabinet criticize the Constitution by the 2026 midterms?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…141142143144145…266Next ›

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$5.3K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 15+ pts

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

$25 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

In which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?

June 2026100¢

10 outcomes

Ɱ5.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$26.9K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 17+ pts

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

$93 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028?

Yes86¢

No14¢

Yes ≈ 86% chance

Ɱ8.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$40.8K Vol▲ 3pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 19+ pts

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

$654 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Charters of Freedom be damaged or taken from the National Archives Building during Trump's term?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ258 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$42.6K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 21+ pts

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

$15 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump endorses the eventual winner of the 2028 GOP presidential nomination

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ890 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$1.3K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 23+ pts

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

$607 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

The market strongly expects Republicans to lose at least one House seat in a Trump-won state, driven by historical midterm headwinds and a narrow majority, but a Republican redistricting advantage and Trump's influence on primaries introduce uncertainty.

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

$4.1K Vol3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump be, or claim he was, sexually assaulted in prison by the end of 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 25+ pts

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$833 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

The market is pricing a near-certain loss because Trump's intra-party purges and primary defeats are creating open seats in red states, even as Democrats have a narrow but real path to flip one of them.

Yes87¢

No14¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

$6.7K Vol3mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 27+ pts

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$833 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 40% before his death?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ113 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?

Yes12¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$641 Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 29+ pts

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$526 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Biden passes away in a foreign country or in flight on Air Force One by end 2026

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo