Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 4078US elections 2966Foreign politics 498Political Leader Tenure 379Future US Presidents 245US Political Timelines 211Leader Tenure Predictions 128US Political Future 114Presidential Candidacy 79US Political Milestones ✨ 35Person of the Year Awards 16Sports & Political Leadership 9
6,330 markets · page 146 of 264
Manifold· Play
Open
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2026?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Ɱ37.1K Vol 0pts5mo
Polymarket
Open